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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil’s real at over 3-month high on hawkish central bank

EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil’s real at over 3-month high on hawkish central bank

* Colombia to raise 14 trillion pesos with new tax reform
* Real gains after central bank hints at another rate hike
in June
* Dollar falls from two-week high

By Shashank Nayar
May 6 (Reuters) – Brazil’s real surged on Thursday after the
central bank made its second consecutive interest rate hike to
curb rising inflation, while the Colombian peso recovered from
six-month lows on the prospect of a revised tax reform bill.
The real rose 1.24% to its highest level since
January this year after the central bank hiked its benchmark
Selic rate by 75 basis points to 3.5% late on Wednesday.
The central bank also hinted at another rate hike in June to
help curb rising inflation and support an economy hurt by the
COVID-19 pandemic.
“The Brazilian central bank’s hawkish stance, which is in
line with current inflation projections, has helped support the
BRL, and signals of an additional rate hike next month will give
more power to the real in the short term,” said Mauricio Une,
senior economist at Rabobank.
“However, there are fiscal risks that persist which are
primarily on account of rising coronavirus infections, which
would in turn push the congress towards more stimulus measures
to help support the economy.”
Colombia’s peso surged 1.3% to break a five-day losing
streak after its freshly-appointed finance minister said the
country will seek to raise 14 trillion pesos ($3.6 billion) with
a new tax reform. Mass protests and lawmaker opposition forced
the withdrawal of the previous bill and his predecessor’s
resignation.
The currency of the world’s largest copper producer, Chile
, gained 0.4% as copper prices flirted with 10-year
peaks.
MSCI’s index of Latin American currencies
gained 0.7%, while stocks rose 0.8%, primarily
led by a weaker dollar and rising commodity prices.
The dollar fell from a two-week high on Thursday as
global market risk appetite improved, further supporting
emerging market currencies.
Shares of Brazilian state-run oil company Petrobras
fell 0.3% after it reopened bidding for its Golfinho
offshore oilfield cluster, two sources told Reuters this week,
following a rise in crude prices over the last several
months.
Elsewhere, the Turkish lira was flat after the bank
held its key interest rate steady at 19%, above inflation, which
the central bank expects to cool after having risen beyond
17%.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1339.24 0.46

MSCI LatAm 2429.73 1.03

Brazil Bovespa 119498.05 -0.06

Mexico IPC 48640.30 0.5

Chile IPSA 4679.50 -0.53

Argentina MerVal – –

Colombia COLCAP 1239.55 -0.04 Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.2987 1.24

Mexico peso 20.2541 -0.05

Chile peso 701.8 0.40

Colombia peso 3800.89 1.25
Peru sol 3.824 0.00

Argentina peso 93.7900 -0.03
(interbank)

(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru)

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